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Stocks have done poorly despite great top and bottom line numbers. One theory as to why this has occurred is because the tax cuts and forex have provided one time gains. Investors are worried about peak earnings growth.
Sales growth has been boosted by the decline in the dollar on a year over year basis. Therefore, the bottom line and top line are being augmented. The currency effect is a one time event. Some say the dollar is simply returning to its average price since the 10 year monthly median is $90.61. While that’s true, the year over year effects are still transitory. The key is to understand that these earnings can be sustainable without the growth rate being sustainable. The tax cut is more stable as it doesn’t change every day like currencies, but the spike in earnings growth caused by it is also temporary. Why Are Stocks Falling After Great Earnings Results?
The Gann theory has been successfully utilized by online Forex traders for more than a decade now, and even though the stock markets and the futures have changed drastically within the last couple of years, the Gann theory remains a very popular method of analyzing the condition of an asset in the Forex market. Newer areas of trading areas, which includes the foreign exchange market as well as the invention of exchange-traded funds (ETFs), have made it necessary to revisit some of the rules of construction and concepts of application. Although the basic structure of the Gann angles remains the same, the changes in the levels of price and volatility of the stocks have made it necessary to adjust some of the key components inside the Gann theory. For more Investing news such as this article, click on the link above to access further information related to the Gann theory. Basic Elements of Gann Theory Gann angles are a popular trading as well as an analysis tool that is utilized to measure the key elements of a stock, such as the time, price and the pattern of it. Both the past and the present, as well as the future all, exist at the same time within a Gann angle. When a trader wants to analyze the course of a particular market, the trader will try to get an idea of where the market has been in the past, and where it is in relation to that former bottom or top, and how to use that data to make a close to accurate forecast of the price action in the future. Gann Angles vs. Trend lines Drawing angles to trade and forecast are currently the most popular analysis tool that is used by online Forex traders. Many traders still draw the charts manually and some others use computerized technical analysis to display the charts on the screens. Traders nowadays can easily place a Gann angle on a chart, and thus many of them do not think about why or how to use them properly. These Gann angles are compared to trendlines more often than not, but many Forex traders are simply unaware that these elements are not the same thing. A Gann angle is a diagonal line that moves at a uniform rate of speed. A trendline is an element that is created by connecting bottoms to bottoms in the case of an uptrend and tops to tops in the case of a downtrend. The benefit of drawing a Gann angle compared to a trendline is that it moves at a uniform rate of speed. This allows the online trader to make an accurate forecast of where the price is going to be in the future. Gann angles can’t always predict where the market will be, but the Forex trader will be able to know where the Gann angle will be in the future, thus it will help them to gauge the strength and direction of a particular market trend. Past, Present and Future The main concept that a Forex trader needs to understand when working with the Gann theory is that the past, the present and the future all exist at the same time on the Gann angles. With that being said, the Gann angle can be utilized to predict the resistance and support as well as the direction and the strength of the timing of tops and bottoms.
This may appear to be a noob question, but read on carefully and please try and understand the point I'm trying to make! I'm hoping your answers might be helpful to people both learning Forex and looking to get into it, so please don't hate on me for this post. I am relatively new to FX and have learned about break and retest strategies, MACD crossovers and stop losses below structure and risk to reward ratios (usually going for 1:1 or 2/3:1) and so on. I say this only so you know I've a general (very basic) understanding of charts, price action etc. I definitely do NOT expect to step into the markets and instantly win a majority of my trades, however, to illustrate my thoughts please note the example below. If I am winning 2% on a winning trade and losing 1% on a losing trade (2:1 reward risk per trade), a strategy that wins just 50% of the time trading once per trading day would be +10% each month. (10 days of -1%, 10 days of +2%). +10% is a HUGE increase in accounts and if a $1000 account was +10% per month for 12 months the end of year balance would be over $3138.43 or a 213.84% return! This leads me to a theory that almost NO system can be returning 50% on a 2:1 reward risk, even with careful trade selection (let's say I monitor the 7 major pairs, gold and GBP/JPY as I do and pick one entry a day) Am I wrong? I appreciate it is a hypothetical example designed to make a point, but my thoughts are if you monitored lots of pairs and took only ONE entry a day, we might expect to win 50% of the time. Let's expand this further. I have seen numerous algos (can't name them but looking like they win at LEAST 50% of the time) which tempt me because they appear to indicate moves I could jump on and where I could pull a bunch of pips out of the market. However, there surely cannot be a holy grail or are people making this type of insane return? It cannot be as easy as buying an algo, signing up to $300,000 worth of FTMO funding and earning 10% per month for an easy $21,000 per month income with profit share. Or maybe it is and I'm just cynical?! I end up getting tempted by courses etc. in the hope that if I spent £400 on a good course it would open the door to what I need to do, but I'm nervous this is just another huge mistake. I genuinely would love to trade Forex for a living. Really I would. I hope it's possible and I hope to learn a strategy I can wash, rinse and repeat. I love watching videos and live streamers who seem to have a great understanding of what's going on but I wonder if it's really possible. It seems a million miles away but I'm determined to keep learning and trading. Reading your considered thoughts to this post would be helpful for me and I'm sure others and thank you for reading it.
I'll leave these as they are for a little while (About 12 hours from now). If you check the trade history of these accounts vrs my posting history you'll see none of the losses made were from trades I posted. Actually sometimes I inverted the trades I posted to generate losses. You can see this in the "History" tab and of course you know how to see my Reddit posts. Heading into Monday I will attach new accounts to this and we can then run phase two of the test. I could just upload accounts already running and proftable to this, but I think it's best to do everything in real time and in the open. From now on I will be trading the same positions as I post and tracking the results of these. You can find these results at the links above as of Monday.
Now I'll trade and track results properly and we get to do a proper experiement into the real motives and nature of everyone involved. I've said it for months, the truth of people will be revealed by their own actions. Just a case of waiting untl the time is right. From now on I'll only trade the things I post in my subs/forum. No messing about. If they bomb this time, I suck. If not, let's see what happens :)
[Question] How applicable is macroeconomic theory to Forex?
I'm really new to forex and am just a junior in college so forgive me if this question is indirect, but do most traders consider the actual implications of news(Jobs reports, oil supply, housing) or do they just trade the news/reports in comparison into what analysts estimate the reports to be? Ex ( 5% vs 4%) For example, US had a strong jobs report last week so the USD should have appreciated, but lets say the jobs report was extremely good and the level of US unemployment lowered to 2%. A look at the theory behind the philips curve would tell us that if actual unemployment is lower than expected unemployment(5-4%)that inflation should increase and thus devalue the dollar in the long term. Do traders consider factors like this or do most just ride the wave.
How to incorporate game theory into forex trading?
So at the moment I use Triangular moving averages on d1 charts to identify trends and then use the central bank to see if they support this with monetary policy and fiscal policy. I just wondered how could i use game theory in forex Thanks
I have been trading for 3 months (6 months demo before that). Up until 3 days ago I have always traded with discipline, set SL, understood risk management and make reports out of downloadable CSV data from the broker. I even journal each trade at the end of the day. Each trade I make risks from 0.5% - 2% depending on how confident I am on the particular trade. The first 2 months of grind made 5% and 7% respectively. Several days ago, I lost 3 trades in a row and felt like George Costanza. It was especially demoralizing because I followed the technical, fundamental, trend, and confirmed with indicator, etc... yet, each went straight for my SL. I took the day off and reflected on what I did wrong. I lost 6% of my capital that day, a whole month's work. The very next day, during the Fed chair Powell speech, I focused on EUUSD, and as the chart started to run higher and higher, I am not sure what came over me, I entered long at 1.18401 and risked 20% of my capital. I was going to enter my usual 2% risk, but the greed (subconsciously?) in me added an extra 0. The very second the trade was entered, I felt a hot flash and my heart started pumping, I entered into loss territory, my heart sunk as I watch it go down 10 pips, 15 pips, if only for 15 seconds. Then it started going up, and it was exhilarating watching the profits. I had the good sense to enter TP at 1.189, and it got there 15 minutes later. I had just made a little over 10% of my capital in 15 minutes. Recovered yesterday's 6% loss and then some. I told my self that this was a one time thing, stupid and impulsive thing to do... until the next day... I saw a good opportunity with USD/JPY. I didn't even bother to check anything, technical, fundamental, indicators, NOTHING! Just that vertical cliff short candle... , my god, that full short candle, and the speed! This time, very much a conscious decision, I entered short with 30% of my capital at 106.5. 4 hours later, I hit my TP at 105.5. I had made 30% of my capital in 4 hours. In the last 2 trading days, up 40% of my capital, including my previous 2 months of measly 12% in comparison, I am roughly up 50% of my original capital in 3 months. This has been a good week to say the least. But I am afraid I have created an insatiable monster. The greed has overtaken good sense, and this is quite possibly the origin story of a blown account.
Theory and Practice of Forex and Treasury Management. guess March 29, 2020 October 15, 2020. Share. Facebook . Twitter . Pinterest . LinkedIn . Read Time: 3 Minute, 37 Second Integrated Treasury Accounting Units. Accounting – Valuation and Elimination of Exposures. Accounting of Treasury Instruments. Management of Daily, Weekly and Monthly Liquidity / Funding Plans and Coordinating Plans ... Fibonacci Theory . Share: A bit of history of Fibonacci. Before we get in too much about what Fibonacci is, let’s first answer the question “who is Fibonacci?” Leonardo Pisano, or Leonardo Fibonacci as he is most widely known, was a European mathematician in the Middle Ages who wrote Liber Abaci (Book of Calculation) in 1202 AD. In this book he discussed a variety of topics including how ... Elliott Waves Theory. By far the most complex, sophisticated and intriguing trading theory, the Elliott Waves Theory, was created in the 1930s. Elliott, an accountant, fell ill and had the time to study the market movements. He documented impulsive and corrective waves of various cycles and dared to claim that the market expresses both pessimism and optimism in a predictable fashion. People ... The theory of time, also called the theory of numbers, are significant parameters of the indicator. Three main parameters: 9, 18, and 26. Why exactly these numbers? The fact is that at that time, the working week in Japan was six days, which gives us the values of one and a half weeks (9), three weeks (18), and a full working month (26), respectively. The remaining values are 33, 42, 65, 76 ... The Quarters theory illustrates how institutional traders use particular exchange rates in forex trading to make decisions on buying price and selling price. As retail forex traders, our profit making goals are always aligned with the activities of these institutional traders and the Quarters theory accurately predicts where they will buy or sell. This theory basically states that any expected changes in currency rates between two countries is roughly equal to the differential of nominal interest rates between the two subject countries. The theory suggests that exchange rates between two nations should fluctuate based on amounts that are most like these nominal interest rates. If the rate is lower in one of the countries compared to the ... Archive for the ‘FOREX THEORY’ Category MYR313,713,713,713.13 – August 13, 2014: WHEN MALICE DEFEATS IMMUNITY (THERE IS NO IMMUNITY WHEN IT HAPPENED TO MALICIOUS PROSECUTION, ABSENCE OF JURISDICTION WITH MISCONDUCT OF A MAGISTRATE) – Checkmate in 4 Moves – On The Golden Ratio of Spiral of Fibonacci; Artificial Intelligence + Neural Fuzzy + Emotional Intelligence = Almost Human ... Fibonacci Theory . Share: A bit of history of Fibonacci . Before we get in too much about what Fibonacci is, let’s first answer the question “who is Fibonacci?” Leonardo Pisano, or Leonardo Fibonacci as he is most widely known, was a European mathematician in the Middle Ages who wrote Liber Abaci (Book of Calculation) in 1202 AD. In this book he discussed a variety of topics including ... Quarter theory suggest a clear pattern in price movement, challenging the notion that price movement is random. Quarter theory organizes the daily fluctuations of currency exchange in a systematic orderly manner. Quarters Theory focuses on the 1000 PIP Ranges between the Major Whole Numbers in currency exchange rates and divides these ranges into four equal parts, called Large Quarters. Each ... How to Trade Forex Market Successfully? Welcome to How to Trade Forex Market.Here you find the right answer in the shape of educational material from Basic to Advance level. Different well known trading methodologies like Candle Stick Patterns/Signals, Price Action, Supply n Demand, Elliot Wave Theory and Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) has been explained in a very easy and comprehensive way.
Date of issue: 20 April 2010. Speaker: Ilian Yotov. - The Foundation of The Quarters Theory - What are “The Quarters”? - The Unique Premise of The Quarters T... การเทรดฟอเรก ท่านต้องเข้สใจหลักการ ทางทฤษฏี ปละ ทางปฏิบัติให้ ... My Fx Broker: https://my.myfxchoice.com/registration/?ib=107287 Follow me on instagram @ RealRicoForex http://instagram.com/realricoforex Subscribe to my mus... Good day my friend, Are you a risk manager? The Forex market gives us the opportunity to earn apart of the 6.1 trillion dollars transferred in the global mar... Taking it back to one of the first strategies i used to identify some technical analysis. Understand that Trading is 90% mindset and knowing these psychology... เริ่มต้นเทรดได้ที่ :https://bit.ly/traderathome รู้หรือยัง? เทรด Dow theory กันแบบ ... My Fx Broker: https://my.myfxchoice.com/registration/?ib=107287 Subscribe to my music youtube channel! Big thanks http://youtube.com/vx3k All teaching I do i... Nearly every student of technical analysis has heard of the Elliott Wave Theory and is probably fascinated by the concept. Despite its popularity, Elliott Wa...